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Chargers vs. Seahawks

Cross-platform snapshot for "Chargers vs. Seahawks": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 42.5 100% O/U 44.5 100% O/U 45.5 100% O/U 47.5 100% Volume: $3.4M Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Chargers vs. Seahawks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
1H Spread -13.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q Spread -7.5100%
2Q Spread -9.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
Chargers O/U 10.5100%
Chargers O/U 12.5100%
Chargers O/U 13.5100%
Chargers O/U 19.5100%
Seahawks O/U 10.5100%
Seahawks O/U 12.5100%
Seahawks O/U 13.5100%
Seahawks O/U 16.5100%
Seahawks O/U 19.5100%
Seahawks O/U 20.5100%
Seahawks O/U 23.5100%
Seahawks O/U 26.5100%
Seahawks O/U 27.5100%
Seahawks 1H O/U 6.5100%
Seahawks 1H O/U 10.5100%
Seahawks 1H O/U 12.5100%
Seahawks 1H O/U 13.5100%
Seahawks 1H O/U 16.5100%
Seahawks 1H O/U 17.5100%
Seahawks 1H O/U 19.5100%
Chargers 2H O/U 6.5100%
Seahawks 2H O/U 6.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
O/U 25.598%
4Q Spread -2.595%
Spread -1.593%
Spread -2.591%
Spread -4.585%
Spread -5.585%
Spread -6.584%
Spread -3.583%
Chargers O/U 20.562%
4Q O/U 7.559%
2H O/U 19.553%
4Q O/U 10.553%
Chargers O/U 16.553%
Chargers 2H O/U 10.553%
Chargers 2H O/U 12.553%
Chargers 2H O/U 13.553%
Chargers 2H O/U 16.553%
O/U 53.551%
Spread -8.551%
2H Spread -2.551%
2H Spread -3.551%
2H Spread -6.551%
4Q Spread -3.551%
4Q Spread -7.551%
4Q Spread -10.551%
4Q Moneyline51%
O/U 57.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 63.550%
O/U 65.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -6.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -10.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
O/U 54.550%
O/U 56.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 62.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 14.550%
Chargers O/U 23.550%
Chargers O/U 26.550%
Chargers O/U 27.550%
Chargers O/U 30.550%
Chargers O/U 34.550%
Seahawks O/U 30.550%
Seahawks O/U 34.550%
Chargers 2H O/U 17.550%
Chargers 2H O/U 19.550%
Chargers 2H O/U 20.550%
Seahawks 2H O/U 10.550%
Seahawks 2H O/U 12.550%
Seahawks 2H O/U 13.550%
Seahawks 2H O/U 16.550%
Seahawks 2H O/U 17.550%
Seahawks 2H O/U 19.550%
Seahawks 2H O/U 20.550%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 21+50%
Safety?50%
Team to Record Longest FG50%
Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Chargers vs. Seahawks: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Spread -19.549%
Spread -21.549%
Spread -16.547%
Spread -17.547%
Spread -19.547%
Spread -20.547%
Spread -21.547%
O/U 61.543%
O/U 58.540%
O/U 55.525%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q19%
Spread -7.516%
Spread -9.513%
4Q Spread -7.512%
Spread -10.57%
Spread -13.56%
Exact Margin: Tie6%
Chargers vs. Seahawks5%
Spread -1.54%
Spread -4.54%
4Q Spread -6.54%
O/U 64.54%
Spread -2.53%
Spread -3.52%
Spread -5.52%
Spread -14.52%
Spread -6.51%
Spread -7.51%
Spread -9.51%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -14.51%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -17.51%
Spread -20.51%
Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 6.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 10.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 12.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 13.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 16.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 17.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 19.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 20.50%
Seahawks 1H O/U 20.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, chargers vs. seahawks stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET: If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers". If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 42.5 at 100% for "Chargers vs. Seahawks".

O/U 42.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.4M.

Methodology

We read Chargers vs. Seahawks from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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