🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogOpen the market →

Chiefs vs. Raiders

Cross-platform snapshot for "Chiefs vs. Raiders": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 39.5 100% O/U 41.5 100% O/U 42.5 100% O/U 43.5 100% Volume: $6.9M Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Chiefs vs. Raiders

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 22.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
Chiefs O/U 10.5100%
Chiefs O/U 12.5100%
Chiefs O/U 13.5100%
Chiefs O/U 16.5100%
Chiefs O/U 19.5100%
Chiefs O/U 20.5100%
Chiefs O/U 26.5100%
Chiefs O/U 27.5100%
Raiders O/U 10.5100%
Raiders O/U 12.5100%
Raiders O/U 13.5100%
Raiders O/U 16.5100%
Chiefs 1H O/U 6.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 6.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 10.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 12.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 6.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q100%
Chiefs vs. Raiders90%
Spread -1.590%
Spread -2.589%
Raiders O/U 20.577%
O/U 56.575%
3Q Moneyline70%
2H O/U 28.567%
4Q O/U 14.560%
4Q O/U 10.557%
2H O/U 16.553%
2H O/U 22.553%
2H O/U 25.553%
Chiefs O/U 23.553%
Raiders O/U 19.553%
Raiders O/U 23.553%
Raiders O/U 26.553%
Chiefs 2H O/U 10.553%
Chiefs 2H O/U 12.553%
Chiefs 2H O/U 13.553%
Chiefs 2H O/U 16.553%
Chiefs 2H O/U 17.553%
Chiefs 2H O/U 19.553%
Raiders 2H O/U 6.553%
Raiders 2H O/U 10.553%
Raiders 2H O/U 12.553%
Raiders 2H O/U 13.553%
4Q Spread -2.551%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q51%
2H Moneyline50%
Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -10.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
Chiefs O/U 30.550%
Chiefs O/U 34.550%
Raiders O/U 27.550%
Raiders O/U 30.550%
Raiders O/U 34.550%
Chiefs 2H O/U 20.550%
Raiders 2H O/U 16.550%
Raiders 2H O/U 17.550%
Raiders 2H O/U 19.550%
Raiders 2H O/U 20.550%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 21+50%
Safety?50%
Team to Record Longest FG50%
Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Raiders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Chiefs vs. Raiders: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Raiders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.550%
Spread -8.548%
Spread -19.547%
Spread -21.547%
Spread -16.547%
Spread -17.547%
Spread -19.547%
Spread -20.547%
Spread -21.547%
O/U 58.521%
O/U 60.518%
O/U 62.518%
Spread -3.510%
Spread -4.510%
4Q Spread -6.510%
Spread -1.57%
Spread -2.57%
O/U 64.56%
Exact Margin: Tie6%
Spread -5.55%
Spread -3.54%
4Q Spread -2.54%
Spread -6.53%
Spread -7.53%
Spread -6.52%
4Q Spread -3.52%
4Q Spread -6.52%
4Q Spread -7.52%
Spread -9.51%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -13.51%
Spread -14.51%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -17.51%
Spread -4.51%
Spread -5.51%
Spread -9.51%
Spread -13.51%
Spread -14.51%
4Q Spread -10.51%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 5.50%
3Q O/U 6.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 10.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 12.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 13.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 16.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 17.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 19.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 20.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 13.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 16.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 17.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 19.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 20.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q0%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Chiefs vs. Raiders — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET: If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders". If the game is postponed, th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 39.5 at 100% for "Chiefs vs. Raiders".

O/U 39.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $6.9M.

Methodology

We read Chiefs vs. Raiders from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade Chiefs vs. Raiders on Polymarket Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports NFL Prediction Markets