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Wizards vs. Pistons

Which venue prices "Wizards vs. Pistons" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 192.5 94% 1Q O/U 44.5 94% O/U 194.5 93% 1H O/U 96.5 93% Volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $6.8M Closes: 10 Nov 2026
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Wizards vs. Pistons

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 192.594%
1Q O/U 44.594%
O/U 194.593%
1H O/U 96.593%
O/U 196.591%
1Q O/U 46.590%
1H O/U 98.590%
O/U 198.589%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.589%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.589%
Wizards O/U 92.588%
O/U 200.587%
Trae Young: Points O/U 9.587%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.587%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 1.587%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.587%
1H O/U 100.586%
Pistons O/U 102.586%
1Q O/U 48.585%
O/U 202.584%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 3.584%
AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 9.583%
O/U 204.581%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 14.581%
1H O/U 102.581%
Wizards O/U 94.581%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 1.580%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 5.580%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.580%
Pistons O/U 104.580%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.579%
O/U 206.578%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 3.578%
1Q O/U 50.578%
Wizards O/U 96.577%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.576%
3Q O/U 47.575%
1H O/U 104.575%
Pistons O/U 106.574%
O/U 208.573%
Spread -2.573%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 19.573%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 3.573%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 1.573%
AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 3.572%
1Q O/U 52.572%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.571%
Wizards O/U 98.571%
2Q O/U 51.570%
1H O/U 106.570%
O/U 210.569%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 5.569%
Wizards 1H O/U 49.569%
Pistons O/U 108.569%
Spread -4.568%
Pistons 1H O/U 55.568%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.567%
3Q O/U 49.567%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 0.566%
O/U 212.565%
Spread -5.565%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.565%
1H O/U 108.565%
Wizards O/U 100.565%
AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 1.564%
AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.564%
1H Spread -1.564%
Pistons O/U 110.564%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 9.563%
Trae Young: Points O/U 14.563%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 7.563%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.563%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.562%
1Q O/U 54.562%
O/U 214.561%
Spread -6.561%
John Collins: Points O/U 9.561%
2Q O/U 53.561%
Wizards 1H O/U 51.561%
1H Spread -3.559%
3Q O/U 51.559%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.558%
1Q Spread -1.558%
Wizards O/U 102.558%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.557%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 1.557%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.557%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.557%
1H O/U 110.557%
Pistons 1H O/U 57.557%
O/U 216.556%
Spread -7.556%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.556%
AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.556%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.556%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 1.556%
Pistons O/U 112.556%
4Q O/U 50.556%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 9.555%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 1.555%
3Q Spread -1.555%
Spread -8.554%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.554%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.554%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 3.554%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.554%
O/U 218.553%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 4.553%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 2.553%
1H O/U 112.553%
1Q O/U 56.553%
1H Spread -0.553%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 4.552%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 14.552%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 3.552%
Cade Cunningham: Blocks O/U 0.552%
2Q Spread -2.552%
2Q O/U 55.552%
Pistons 1H O/U 58.552%
4Q O/U 51.552%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.551%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 1.551%
1H Spread -5.551%
Wizards O/U 104.551%
Wizards 1H O/U 53.551%
Odd/Even Score51%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.550%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 9.550%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 4.550%
AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 1.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.550%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 59.550%
Team to Score First50%
Overtime?50%
Race to 1050%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
2Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 57.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 52.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 55.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 50.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 59.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 54.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 53.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 48.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 61.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 56.550%
Spread -9.549%
John Collins: Points O/U 4.549%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 0.549%
Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 1.549%
Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 2.549%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 0.549%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 1.549%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 2.549%
3Q O/U 53.549%
3Q Spread -0.549%
1H O/U 113.549%
John Collins: Points O/U 11.548%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.548%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.548%
Pistons O/U 114.548%
1Q O/U 57.548%
O/U 220.547%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 15.547%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.547%
1Q Spread -3.547%
4Q O/U 52.547%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.546%
3Q Spread -3.546%
1H O/U 114.546%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.545%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 7.545%
Spread -10.544%
AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 5.544%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.544%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 0.544%
Wizards O/U 106.544%
O/U 222.543%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 11.543%
1H Spread -7.543%
1Q O/U 58.543%
2Q O/U 57.543%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.542%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.542%
Pistons O/U 116.542%
Spread -11.541%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.541%
2Q Spread -4.541%
4Q Spread -3.541%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 0.540%
3Q O/U 55.540%
Pistons 1H O/U 61.540%
Wizards 1H O/U 55.540%
1H O/U 116.540%
Spread -12.539%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.539%
AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 0.539%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 12.539%
O/U 224.538%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 10.538%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.538%
Trae Young: Points O/U 19.538%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.538%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.538%
Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 0.538%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 1.538%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 1.537%
1Q Spread -5.537%
3Q Spread -5.537%
4Q O/U 54.537%
Wizards O/U 108.537%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 8.536%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.536%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.536%
AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 1.536%
1Q O/U 60.536%
Pistons O/U 118.536%
Spread -13.535%
O/U 226.534%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.534%
Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 1.534%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 0.534%
1H Spread -9.534%
1H O/U 118.534%
Spread -14.533%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 3.533%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.533%
AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.533%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.533%
2Q O/U 59.533%
4Q Spread -5.533%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.532%
Wizards O/U 110.532%
2Q Spread -1.531%
4Q Spread -2.531%
2Q Spread -6.531%
3Q O/U 57.531%
Pistons O/U 120.531%
O/U 228.530%
Spread -15.530%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.530%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.530%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.530%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.530%
Pistons 1H O/U 63.530%
Wizards 1H O/U 57.530%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.529%
Spread -16.528%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.528%
1H Moneyline28%
1Q Spread -7.528%
3Q Spread -7.528%
3Q Spread -2.528%
1H Spread -11.528%
John Collins: Points O/U 14.527%
1Q O/U 62.527%
O/U 230.526%
AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 19.526%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.526%
1H O/U 120.526%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.525%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.525%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.525%
1Q Spread -2.525%
Wizards O/U 112.525%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 2.524%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.524%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 9.524%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 5.524%
3Q O/U 59.524%
Pistons O/U 122.524%
O/U 232.523%
Spread -18.523%
1H Spread -2.523%
1H O/U 122.523%
Wizards vs. Pistons22%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 14.522%
1H Spread -13.522%
Spread -1.521%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 14.521%
AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 3.521%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 3.521%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.521%
3Q Spread -9.521%
Wizards O/U 114.521%
Spread -20.520%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 7.520%
AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 7.520%
Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 2.520%
1Q Spread -9.520%
1Q O/U 64.520%
Pistons O/U 124.520%
O/U 234.519%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 19.519%
Trae Young: Points O/U 24.519%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.519%
1H O/U 124.518%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 14.517%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.517%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.517%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 1.517%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.517%
1H Spread -4.517%
O/U 236.516%
Spread -22.516%
Spread -3.516%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 2.516%
1H Spread -15.516%
Wizards O/U 116.516%
AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 9.515%
O/U 238.514%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 9.514%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 9.514%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 13.514%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 11.514%
AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.514%
Cade Cunningham: Blocks O/U 1.514%
Pistons O/U 126.514%
1H O/U 126.514%
AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 24.513%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 15.513%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.513%
1Q O/U 66.513%
Spread -24.512%
Spread -5.512%
O/U 240.512%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.512%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 11.512%
1H Spread -6.512%
1H Spread -17.512%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 19.511%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.511%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 9.511%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 3.511%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.511%
O/U 242.510%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 24.510%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.510%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.510%
AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 2.510%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 2.510%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.510%
Spread -26.59%
Spread -7.59%
O/U 244.59%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 34.59%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 5.59%
John Collins: Points O/U 19.59%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.59%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.59%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 2.59%
1Q O/U 68.59%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.59%
1H O/U 128.59%
Spread -28.58%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 13.58%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 15.58%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 9.58%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.58%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 2.58%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 7.58%
1H Spread -8.58%
1H Spread -19.58%
O/U 246.57%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 39.57%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.57%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.57%
Spread -9.56%
AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 29.56%
Trae Young: Points O/U 29.56%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.56%
1H Spread -21.56%
Spread -30.55%
O/U 248.55%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 19.55%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 19.55%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.55%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.55%
1H Spread -10.55%
Spread -11.54%
Spread -32.54%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 5.54%
Spread -13.53%
Spread -34.53%
AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 5.53%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 5.53%
1H Spread -12.53%
1H Spread -23.53%
Spread -15.52%
Spread -17.52%
Spread -38.52%
Spread -36.51%

Market context

Wizards vs. Pistons. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 19% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-11-10T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 192.5 at 94% for "Wizards vs. Pistons".

O/U 192.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.5M.

Methodology

We read Wizards vs. Pistons from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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