Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Klay Thompson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| Heat 1H O/U 64.5 | 100% |
| Race to 20 | 100% |
| Race to 30 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| Heat 1H O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| Heat 1H O/U 66.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| Heat 1H O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 100% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| Heat 1H O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 98% |
| Heat vs. Kings | 96% |
| Spread -1.5 | 95% |
| O/U 217.5 | 94% |
| Spread -3.5 | 92% |
| O/U 213.5 | 92% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 89% |
| Spread -7.5 | 87% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 19.5 | 87% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 86% |
| O/U 223.5 | 85% |
| O/U 219.5 | 85% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 84% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 84% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| Spread -8.5 | 83% |
| Spread -9.5 | 82% |
| O/U 221.5 | 82% |
| O/U 211.5 | 81% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5 | 79% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| Spread -10.5 | 78% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5 | 78% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 78% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| O/U 225.5 | 76% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5 | 76% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 76% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 9.5 | 76% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Spread -11.5 | 74% |
| Spread -12.5 | 71% |
| O/U 227.5 | 71% |
| O/U 207.5 | 71% |
| O/U 215.5 | 70% |
| O/U 209.5 | 70% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 14.5 | 70% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 70% |
| Spread -13.5 | 67% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 66% |
| O/U 229.5 | 64% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| Spread -14.5 | 63% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| O/U 231.5 | 62% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 61% |
| Spread -15.5 | 60% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| O/U 233.5 | 57% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 235.5 | 55% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Klay Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Spread -17.5 | 52% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Heat O/U 118.5 | 51% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 132.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 134.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Heat O/U 136.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Klay Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 49% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 236.5 | 47% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -19.5 | 45% |
| O/U 237.5 | 44% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Team to Score First | 43% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 239.5 | 40% |
| Spread -37.5 | 40% |
| O/U 238.5 | 40% |
| Spread -21.5 | 38% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 243.5 | 36% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| O/U 240.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| O/U 255.5 | 32% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Spread -23.5 | 31% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| O/U 245.5 | 28% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 247.5 | 27% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| O/U 241.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| O/U 249.5 | 25% |
| O/U 263.5 | 25% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -25.5 | 24% |
| O/U 261.5 | 24% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| O/U 251.5 | 21% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 253.5 | 20% |
| O/U 259.5 | 20% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Spread -27.5 | 18% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 16% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -29.5 | 14% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 257.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 11% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -31.5 | 10% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Klay Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Spread -33.5 | 7% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 39.5 | 6% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| Spread -35.5 | 5% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 5% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| Spread -8.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5 | 2% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -12.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Race to 10 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| Kings 1H O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| Kings 1H O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| Heat 1H O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 72.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 74.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 136.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 138.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to heat vs. kings. In the upcoming NBA game between Heat and Kings, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Heat win, the market …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.8M.
Methodology
This page compares Heat vs. Kings specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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