Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 87% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 86% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 83% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 82% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 80% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 79% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 79% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 78% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 72% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 70% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 66% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 66% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 63% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 62% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 60% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 56% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 54% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 54% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| James Cook III: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 51% |
| Khalil Shakir: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 51% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Justin Jefferson: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Longest Reception O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| DJ Moore: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jordan Mason: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Josh Allen: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Justin Jefferson: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Khalil Shakir: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dawson Knox: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Dawson Knox: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tai Felton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ben Yurosek: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Gavin Bartholomew: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Jackson Hawes: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Myles Price: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Ray Davis: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Ty Johnson: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| DeeJay Dallas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeeJay Dallas: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Addison: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ben Yurosek: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Greg Dortch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keleki Latu: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trent Sherfield: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Wentz: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Greg Dortch: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Keleki Latu: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Odell Beckham Jr.: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings) | 50% |
| Trent Sherfield: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 50% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 48% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 46% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 46% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 43% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 41% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 38% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 35% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 35% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 34% |
| Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 34% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 33% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 31% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 31% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 31% |
| James Cook III: Anytime Touchdown | 31% |
| Justin Jefferson: Anytime Touchdown | 31% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 27% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 26% |
| Jordan Mason: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 24% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 24% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 24% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 23% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 23% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 21% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 20% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 20% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 20% |
| DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 19% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 18% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 18% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 18% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 18% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 18% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown | 18% |
| Gavin Bartholomew: Anytime Touchdown | 18% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 17% |
| Jordan Addison: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| Carson Wentz: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 16% |
| DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 16% |
| Keon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 14% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Khalil Shakir: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Ty Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 13% |
| Josh Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 13% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 12% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 12% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| T.J. Hockenson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 12% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 12% |
| Dawson Knox: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Ben Yurosek: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Myles Price: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 11% |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 11% |
| Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Addison: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Mason: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| Justin Jefferson: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| T.J. Hockenson: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| Ray Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Justin Jefferson: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Dalton Kincaid: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| DJ Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Khalil Shakir: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Aaron Jones Sr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| James Cook III: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Keon Coleman: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Dawson Knox: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Ty Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Myles Price: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| Carson Wentz: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| Tai Felton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 6% |
| Odell Beckham Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Jordan Addison: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
Market context
Bills vs. Vikings - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 50% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-11-10T01:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
This page compares Bills vs. Vikings - Player Props specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Trade Bills vs. Vikings - Player Props on Polymarket Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →