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US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $161K Liquidity: $302K Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea75%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 3.562%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 3 Winner59%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 2 Winner56%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Game Spread +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 38.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 4.543%
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-2.543%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea. This market refers to the tennis match between Zachary Svajda and Arthur Gea in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda'…

Methodology

We read US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

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