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Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Completed Match 100% Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 Winner 100% Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $887K Closes: 14 Sept 2026
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Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 Winner100%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 21.5100%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 22.5100%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 23.5100%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Game Spread +/-4.51%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela0%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 Winner0%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to antalya 4: lucia bronzetti vs irene burillo escorihuela. This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Bronzetti and Irene Burillo Escorihuela in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lu…

Methodology

We read Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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