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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 3.5 Games 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $531K Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?59%
First Blood in Game 4?54%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Game 4 Winner40%
Game 2 Winner35%
Game 3 Winner35%
Game 1 Winner34%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor31%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)30%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?30%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Match Winner24%

Market context

The LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 66% YES. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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