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Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri

Which venue prices "Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri 100% Completed Match 100% Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 Winner 100% Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $236K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri100%
Completed Match100%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 Winner100%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 Winner0%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Match O/U 21.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Match O/U 22.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Match O/U 23.50%
Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Max Alcala Gurri in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if F…

Methodology

This page compares Porto: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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