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US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate 75% US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 Winner 68% US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 Winner 66% US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 3 Winner 66% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $327K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate75%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 Winner68%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 Winner66%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 3 Winner66%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 8.565%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set Handicap +/-1.561%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Total Sets: O/U 3.557%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 36.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Game Spread +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 38.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 10.538%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Set Handicap +/-2.536%
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate Total Sets: O/U 4.524%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to us open atp: nishesh basavareddy vs tristan schoolkate. This market refers to the tennis match between Nishesh Basavareddy and Tristan Schoolkate in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nish…

Methodology

We read US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

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