Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Steelers vs. Saints | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 69% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 68% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 2H Moneyline | 54% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 54% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 25+ | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 19-24 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 13-18 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-12 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-13 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 14-20 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 21+ | 47% |
| Safety? | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 47% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| Steelers vs. Saints: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 10% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Steelers vs. Saints. In the upcoming NFL football game between Steelers and Saints, scheduled for October 25 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Steelers" if Steelers win the game. This market will resolve to "Sain…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.5M.
Methodology
This page compares Steelers vs. Saints specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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