Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 187.5 | 96% |
| O/U 189.5 | 94% |
| O/U 191.5 | 93% |
| O/U 193.5 | 92% |
| O/U 195.5 | 90% |
| O/U 197.5 | 89% |
| O/U 199.5 | 85% |
| O/U 201.5 | 82% |
| O/U 203.5 | 80% |
| O/U 205.5 | 76% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 75% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 73% |
| O/U 207.5 | 72% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 71% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| O/U 209.5 | 69% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 66% |
| O/U 211.5 | 65% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 61% |
| O/U 213.5 | 60% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 58% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| O/U 215.5 | 56% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | 52% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 217.5 | 51% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 219.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| O/U 218.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 21.5 | 46% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 221.5 | 42% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 40% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| O/U 223.5 | 37% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 37% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| O/U 225.5 | 34% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 22.5 | 32% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| O/U 227.5 | 30% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 29% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| O/U 229.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 15.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 12.5 | 26% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| O/U 231.5 | 24% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 24% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| Spread -11.5 | 22% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| O/U 233.5 | 21% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Spread -12.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| O/U 235.5 | 18% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 17% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Spread -24.5 | 15% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| O/U 237.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -15.5 | 13% |
| O/U 239.5 | 13% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 13% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -22.5 | 12% |
| Spread -23.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| O/U 241.5 | 10% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| O/U 243.5 | 9% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -18.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -25.5 | 7% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| Spread -28.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 6% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -26.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 96% chance of celtics vs. 76ers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game between Celtics and 76ers, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $85K.
Methodology
This page compares Celtics vs. 76ers specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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