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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies 89% Volume: $468K Liquidity: $430K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies89%
Spread -1.577%
Spread -2.561%
O/U 5.553%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 11.550%
O/U 7.545%
O/U 6.541%
Spread -3.537%
O/U 8.522%
O/U 9.511%
O/U 10.57%
Spread -1.53%
Spread -2.53%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%
O/U 4.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, washington nationals vs. philadelphia phillies stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 3 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $468K.

Methodology

This page compares Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports