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Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves

Which venue prices "Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves 100% Completed Match 100% Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 1 Winner 100% Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $555K Closes: 15 Sept 2026
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Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves100%
Completed Match100%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 1 Winner100%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 2 Winner100%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Match O/U 21.50%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Match O/U 22.50%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Match O/U 23.50%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves Game Spread +/-6.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves. This market refers to the tennis match between Leolia Jeanjean and Carolina M. Alves in the Barranquilla, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leolia…

Methodology

We read Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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