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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 100% Volume: $248K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs MIBR LOS (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-9.5) vs MIBR LOS (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs MIBR LOS (+8.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-10.5) vs MIBR LOS (+10.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)0%

Market context

Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between MIBR LOS and Team Heretics in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR LO…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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