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Mexico vs. England - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Mexico vs. England - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 89% England O/U 0.5 72% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 71% O/U 1.5 66% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.589%
England O/U 0.572%
2nd Half O/U 0.571%
O/U 1.566%
1st Half O/U 0.564%
Mexico O/U 0.564%
England 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
England 2nd Half O/U 1.551%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score48%
Team to Advance47%
England 1st Half O/U 0.541%
O/U 2.539%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.537%
2nd Half O/U 1.536%
England O/U 1.534%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?31%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.530%
1st Half O/U 1.527%
Mexico O/U 1.527%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half22%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?21%
O/U 3.520%
England (-1.5)17%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Mexico (-1.5)12%
England O/U 2.512%
England 1st Half O/U 1.510%
O/U 4.58%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Mexico O/U 2.58%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.58%
England (-2.5)6%
Mexico (-2.5)3%
O/U 5.53%
England (-3.5)2%
Mexico (-4.5)2%
Mexico (-3.5)1%
England (-4.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Mexico (-5.5)0%
England (-5.5)0%

Market context

The Mexico vs. England - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 89% YES. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read Mexico vs. England - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

Sports