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Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score

Which venue prices "Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia 14% Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia 12% Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia 12% Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia 10% Volume: $274K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia14%
Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia12%
Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia12%
Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia10%
Any Other Score9%
Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia8%
Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia6%
Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia6%
Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia6%
Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia6%
Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia6%
Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia4%
Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia2%
Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia2%
Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia2%
Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia1%
Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia1%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, portugal vs. croatia - exact score stands at 14% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Portugal vs. Cr…

Methodology

We read Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports