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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Which venue prices "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $340K Liquidity: $796K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Match Winner62%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.560%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5)10%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Gentle Mates and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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