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Valorant: Global Esports vs T1 (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: Global Esports vs T1 (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Valorant: Global Esports vs T1 (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)100%
O/U 4.5 Games74%
Match Winner53%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 4 Winner24%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)24%
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)1%
Map Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: GE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: global esports vs t1 (bo5) - vct pacific playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket final match between Global Esports and T1 in the VCT Pacific Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Th…

Methodology

We read Valorant: Global Esports vs T1 (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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