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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Match Winner 85% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 2 Winner 70% Game 3 Winner 70% Volume: $193K Liquidity: $2.5M Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner85%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 2 Winner70%
Game 3 Winner70%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)68%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Game 4 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?61%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
First Blood in Game 2?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
First Blood in Game 3?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?38%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill24%
O/U 4.5 Games23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?23%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 85% YES probability for LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between T1 and BNK FEARX in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" …

Methodology

We read LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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