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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Mexico vs. England - Player Props" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Harry Kane: 1+ shots 97% Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 91% Harry Kane: 2+ shots 85% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 82% Volume: $362K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Harry Kane: 1+ shots97%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots91%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots85%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots82%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots72%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots66%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots61%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots61%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots60%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots56%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots55%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots49%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots49%
Armando González: 2+ shots48%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target48%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves48%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots47%
Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves47%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots46%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots41%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists41%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals38%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots38%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists38%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target37%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target36%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target35%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target34%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves34%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists34%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots33%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target33%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target33%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists33%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots32%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots32%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target32%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target32%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves32%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists32%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists31%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists31%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target30%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target30%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target30%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves30%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists30%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target29%
Armando González: 5+ shots28%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target28%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target28%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists28%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals27%
Armando González: 1+ shots27%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots27%
Armando González: 4+ shots26%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots26%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals25%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots24%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists22%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists21%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists21%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists21%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots20%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target16%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots15%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target15%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target14%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots13%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists13%
Armando González: 1+ goals12%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals12%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots12%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists12%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots11%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists11%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists10%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals9%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots8%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists8%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals7%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target7%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals6%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals6%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals5%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals4%
Armando González: 3+ shots4%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots4%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots4%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots4%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists4%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists3%
Armando González: 3+ goals2%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals2%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals2%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals2%
Ivan Toney: 5+ shots2%
Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots2%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists2%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists2%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target2%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target2%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target2%
Armando González: 2+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals1%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots1%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Market consensus: 97% chance of mexico vs. england - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Mexico vs. England - Player Props specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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