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Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group A

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group A" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: MF (-1.5) vs Rooster (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Volume: $105K Liquidity: $275K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: MF (-1.5) vs Rooster (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-3.5) vs Mindfreak (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-6.5) vs Mindfreak (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Mindfreak (-3.5) vs Rooster (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Mindfreak (-9.5) vs Rooster (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs Mindfreak (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Mindfreak (-6.5) vs Rooster (+6.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: rooster vs mindfreak (bo3) - hyperx & intel nationals group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Rooster and Mindfreak in the HyperX & Intel Nationals Group A, initially scheduled for July 17 at 5:00AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group A specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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