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LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Match Winner 85% Game 1 Winner 77% Game 2 Winner 76% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Volume: $75K Liquidity: $830K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner85%
Game 1 Winner77%
Game 2 Winner76%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?62%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)57%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor37%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
O/U 2.5 Games36%
Any Player Penta Kill30%
Any Player Penta Kill30%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 85% probability to lol: gen.g vs jd gaming (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Gen.G and JD Gaming in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if …

Methodology

We read LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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