🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogOpen the market →

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 71% US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz 69% US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 65% US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 64% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $240K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
Open live market →
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.571%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz69%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 3.565%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.564%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner63%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 3 Winner62%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner61%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 36.560%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 38.557%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.553%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 40.553%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Game Spread +/-3.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.541%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 4.528%
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-2.528%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 71% YES probability for US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz. This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Hubert Hurkacz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' i…

Methodology

This page compares US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz on Polymarket Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets