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Indiana vs. Michigan

Which venue prices "Indiana vs. Michigan" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Indiana vs. Michigan 100% Spread -6.5 100% Spread -5.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Volume: $1.6M Liquidity: $5.0M Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Indiana vs. Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Indiana vs. Michigan100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
Game Goes to Overtime100%
Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Indiana vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 24.51%
2H O/U 27.51%
2H O/U 33.51%
Indiana 2H O/U 11.51%
Indiana 2H O/U 13.51%
Indiana 2H O/U 15.51%
Michigan 2H O/U 12.51%
Michigan 2H O/U 14.51%
Michigan 2H O/U 16.51%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown1%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown1%
Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.51%
Pick-Six Scored1%
Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.51%
Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.51%
Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.51%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.51%
Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.51%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.51%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.51%
Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.51%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.51%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.51%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.51%
Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.51%
Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.51%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.51%
Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.51%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.51%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.51%
Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.51%
Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.51%
Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.51%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.51%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.51%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.51%
Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.51%
Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.51%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.51%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.51%
Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.51%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.51%
Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.51%
Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.51%
Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.51%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.51%
Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.51%
Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.51%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.51%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.51%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.51%
Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.51%
Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.51%
Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.51%
2H Spread -7.51%
2H Spread -5.51%
2H Spread -3.51%
2H Spread -2.51%
Michigan O/U 1.51%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 35.50%
O/U 37.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Indiana O/U 20.50%
Indiana O/U 23.50%
Indiana O/U 26.50%
Indiana O/U 29.50%
Indiana O/U 32.50%
Michigan O/U 23.50%
Michigan O/U 26.50%
Michigan O/U 29.50%
Michigan O/U 32.50%
Michigan O/U 35.50%
Indiana 1H O/U 11.50%
Indiana 1H O/U 13.50%
Indiana 1H O/U 15.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 12.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 14.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
Indiana O/U 2.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%
Indiana O/U 3.50%

Market context

The Indiana vs. Michigan prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Indiana and Michigan, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game. This market will resolve to "…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Indiana vs. Michigan at 100% for "Indiana vs. Michigan".

Indiana vs. Michigan 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.6M.

Methodology

This page compares Indiana vs. Michigan specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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