Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 99% |
| O/U 51.5 | 99% |
| O/U 53.5 | 94% |
| O/U 55.5 | 94% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Boise State O/U 23.5 | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 1H Moneyline | 91% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 91% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| O/U 57.5 | 89% |
| O/U 59.5 | 89% |
| Spread -0.5 | 88% |
| O/U 61.5 | 85% |
| Boise State vs. Fresno State | 83% |
| Fresno State O/U 23.5 | 82% |
| Spread -1.5 | 81% |
| O/U 63.5 | 80% |
| Spread -2.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 73% |
| O/U 65.5 | 73% |
| Spread -4.5 | 72% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 67% |
| Spread -5.5 | 64% |
| O/U 67.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Spread -6.5 | 61% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 60% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| O/U 69.5 | 55% |
| Spread -8.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 71.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| O/U 73.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Spread -13.5 | 36% |
| O/U 75.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -14.5 | 34% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| Spread -16.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -2.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 8% |
| Spread -5.5 | 7% |
| Spread -6.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -8.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of boise state vs. fresno state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Boise State and Fresno State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.0M.
Methodology
We read Boise State vs. Fresno State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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