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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Which venue prices "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Game 1 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $256K Liquidity: $633K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner64%
O/U 2.5 Games58%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner40%
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)40%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Rampage25%
Any Player Rampage25%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: mouz vs yellow submarine (bo3) - blast slam europe closed qualifier playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 2 match between MOUZ and Yellow Submarine in the BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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