# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate a measurable view count over its first 48 hours post-publication. This market captures that two-day performance window, with resolution tied directly to YouTube's public view counter. The 0% implied probability reflects either an absence of trading activity or a structural mismatch between the market's brackets and expected outcomes—a common pattern when prediction books price niche creator metrics.

MrBeast's historical upload performance provides the baseline for calibration. His videos routinely exceed 100 million views within 48 hours; his most-viewed content has reached 200+ million in the same window. Comparable creator markets on Polymarket and Kalshi show divergent liquidity patterns: Kalshi's decimal-odds format and stricter KYC requirements tend to attract institutional traders focused on macro events, whilst Polymarket's AMM structure and lower friction onboarding draw retail volume on entertainment outcomes. Betfair and Smarkets, by contrast, rarely list creator-specific metrics, making this category largely Polymarket's domain. The 0% reading suggests either the bracket thresholds are misaligned with realistic ranges, or the market has insufficient order flow to establish a true price.

Traders should monitor MrBeast's upload schedule and content type—collaboration videos and challenge formats historically outperform vlogs in 48-hour velocity. YouTube algorithm changes and platform-wide engagement trends will influence baseline performance. The settlement window's June 2026 endpoint provides ample time for data accumulation, but early trading activity will depend on whether the bracket structure captures plausible outcomes within the first few days of the video's publication.

Methodology

This page compares # of views of MrBeast video day 2? specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Alternative is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Alternative?

Zero. Polymarket Alternative routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.