Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Liudmila Samsonova and Jil Teichmann are scheduled to meet in the Roland Garros women's draw on 24 May 2026. Samsonova, a Russian left-hander ranked in the top 20, brings aggressive baseline play and improving clay-court form to the encounter. Teichmann, the Swiss player, competes as a consistent mid-tier competitor with particular strength on slower surfaces. The 0% crowd-implied probability suggests minimal trading activity or a technical display issue, given both players' established professional standing and the fixture's confirmed scheduling.

Historical context matters here: clay-court matchups between players of similar ranking typically settle within narrow probability bands on established platforms. Samsonova's record against comparable opposition on Roland Garros surfaces—where her heavy topspin forehand gains traction—generally favours her in opening rounds. Teichmann's recent form and seeding position will determine whether this reflects a genuine mismatch or early-round volatility. Comparable first-round encounters on Kalshi and Smarkets have shown decimal odds clustering between 1.5 and 2.2 for the higher-ranked player, though Polymarket's fee structure (0.2% maker, 2% taker) sometimes suppresses early liquidity on lower-profile matches compared to Betfair's established tennis markets.

Traders should monitor official Roland Garros draw confirmations and any late injury announcements through late May. Court assignments and surface conditions—particularly clay moisture levels—can shift probabilities materially. The settlement window extends to 31 May, providing a seven-day buffer for weather delays, though the 5:00 AM ET scheduling suggests a secondary court assignment unlikely to face extended postponement.

Methodology

This page compares Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.