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US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch 100% Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $142K Liquidity: $272K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch100%
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Game Spread +/-2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 23.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open, qualification atp: francesco passaro vs tom gentzsch stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Tom Gentzsch in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page compares US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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