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US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken

Which venue prices "US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $226K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 23.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken Game Spread +/-0.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: remy bertola vs harry wendelken. This market refers to the tennis match between Remy Bertola and Harry Wendelken in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We read US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Harry Wendelken from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets