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Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Cross-platform snapshot for "Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 Winner 100% Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $570K Liquidity: $335K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 Winner100%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 21.575%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 22.575%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Match O/U 23.575%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez53%
Completed Match50%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 1 Winner0%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to bonn: matheus pucinelli de almeida vs federico agustin gomez. This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Federico Agustin Gomez in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'M…

Methodology

This page compares Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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