Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya. This market refers to the tennis match between Janice Tjen and Anna Kalinskaya in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Janice …
Methodology
This page compares Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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