Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of livesport prague open, qualification: dominika salkova vs denisa zoldakova. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Dominika Salkova and Denisa Zoldakova in the Livesport Prague Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30AM E…
Methodology
We read Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Dominika Salkova vs Denisa Zoldakova from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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