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National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5 51% National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 21.5 51% National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff 50% National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner 50% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $524K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.551%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 21.551%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff50%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner50%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 22.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 23.550%
Completed Match49%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 2 Winner48%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 10.540%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 51% YES probability for National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff. This market refers to the tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Coco Gauff in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Belinda Be…

Methodology

This page compares National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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