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Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan

Which venue prices "Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Completed Match 100% Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $218K Liquidity: $415K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan0%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Match O/U 21.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Match O/U 22.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Match O/U 23.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon wta: irina-camelia begu vs katie swan. This market refers to the tennis match between Irina-Camelia Begu and Katie Swan in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irina-Camelia …

Methodology

This page compares Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
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Related Topics

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