Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 176.5 | 56% |
| Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Spread -11.5 | 53% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 | 52% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| O/U 178.5 | 52% |
| Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 49% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 179.5 | 48% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Awa Fam: Assists O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Awa Fam: Points O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5 | 44% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 42% |
| Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream | 16% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to seattle storm vs. atlanta dream. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 31 at 7:30PM ET: If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.
Methodology
This page compares Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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