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Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Cross-platform snapshot for "Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 65% Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 17.5 64% Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty 59% 1H Moneyline 59% Volume: $107K Liquidity: $508K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.565%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 17.564%
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty59%
1H Moneyline59%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.556%
Spread -2.554%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.554%
O/U 172.554%
2H Spread -1.554%
2H O/U 86.554%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.553%
1H Spread -1.553%
2H Moneyline53%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.552%
O/U 173.551%
1H O/U 86.551%
1Q Spread -0.551%
2Q Spread -0.551%
2Q O/U 43.551%
1Q O/U 43.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 43.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q O/U 43.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.549%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.549%
Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.549%
Spread -3.549%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.548%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.548%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.548%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 18.547%
Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.547%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.546%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 23.545%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 13.543%
Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.543%
Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.542%
Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.541%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.541%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 9.540%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.540%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.530%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, minnesota lynx vs. new york liberty stands at 65% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 29 at 8:30PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the New York Liberty win, the market …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 at 65% for "Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty".

Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 65% Other 35%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $107K.

Methodology

This page compares Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports