Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Other | — | |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 82% YES | 19% NO |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Song Yadong | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Rob Font | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pedro Munhoz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Petr Yan, the former UFC bantamweight champion, will next face an opponent to be determined within the UFC's 135-pound division or potentially above. The market resolves upon official UFC announcement of a scheduled bout, excluding speculation or unconfirmed reports. As of late 2024, Yan remains active in the division following his title loss to Sean O'Malley and subsequent fights against competitors like Demetrious Johnson. The settlement window extends through end-2026, allowing substantial time for matchmaking decisions.
Historical precedent suggests UFC bantamweight matchmaking typically occurs within 60–90 days of a fighter's previous bout conclusion. Yan's recent activity and ranking position make him a candidate for title contention or high-profile interim bouts. Comparable fighters at his tier—such as Aljamain Sterling or Dominick Cruz in their respective career phases—have seen announcement-to-fight windows range from six weeks to five months depending on opponent availability and injury status. The division's depth means multiple viable opponents exist, reducing predictability around specific pairings.
Traders should monitor UFC official announcements via their website and social channels, as these are the sole qualifying sources per market rules. Key catalysts include Yan's recovery timeline from any injuries, scheduling around pay-per-view event calendars, and competitor availability. Recent MMA journalism from outlets like MMA Junkie and ESPN MMA occasionally reports negotiations before official confirmation, but such reports carry no settlement weight. Cross-platform comparison: Polymarket and Kalshi both require KYC verification in most jurisdictions, whilst Betfair and Smarkets operate with lighter restrictions in certain regions. Decimal odds on European books differ from implied probability displays on US platforms, affecting how traders perceive edge on this longer-dated market.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
This page compares Who will Petr Yan fight next? specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Who will Petr Yan fight next? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →