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Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Which venue prices "Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 3.5 Games 77% Map 4 Winner 70% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 61% Volume: $284K Liquidity: $645K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games77%
Map 4 Winner70%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Match Winner59%
Map 1 Winner56%
Map 3 Winner56%
Map 2 Winner53%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)48%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)47%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)44%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)44%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)40%
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)38%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
Map Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)16%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 77% probability to valorant: loud vs team vitality (bo5) - vct champions playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Grand Final match between LOUD and Team Vitality in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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