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Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 60% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 57% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $402K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.560%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.557%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.557%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)54%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)53%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)52%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)47%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)43%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)42%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)42%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)42%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 1 Winner36%
Map 2 Winner35%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.535%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.535%
Match Winner30%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: loud vs 100 thieves (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega stands at 67% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 9 at 8:00PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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