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Germany vs. Greece - More Markets

Which venue prices "Germany vs. Greece - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 96% Germany O/U 0.5 92% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 86% O/U 1.5 85% Volume: $244K Liquidity: $614K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Germany vs. Greece - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Germany O/U 0.592%
2nd Half O/U 0.586%
O/U 1.585%
1st Half O/U 0.577%
Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.574%
Germany O/U 1.570%
O/U 2.567%
Germany 1st Half O/U 0.565%
Greece O/U 0.564%
Both Teams to Score59%
2nd Half O/U 1.556%
Germany (-5.5)50%
Germany 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Greece 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Greece 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Germany O/U 5.549%
Germany 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Greece 1st Half O/U 1.548%
Greece 1st Half O/U 2.548%
2nd Half O/U 4.548%
Germany 1st Half O/U 2.547%
2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Germany (-1.5)44%
O/U 3.544%
Greece (-4.5)44%
1st Half O/U 1.543%
Germany O/U 2.543%
Greece 2nd Half O/U 0.543%
Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.539%
Greece O/U 4.537%
Greece O/U 5.537%
Greece 1st Half O/U 0.534%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half31%
Greece (-5.5)30%
1st Half O/U 4.530%
2nd Half O/U 2.528%
Germany (-2.5)26%
Greece O/U 1.526%
O/U 4.525%
Germany O/U 4.523%
Both Teams to Score in First Half22%
Germany 1st Half O/U 1.521%
Greece 1st Half O/U 3.521%
Germany O/U 3.520%
1st Half O/U 2.518%
Greece O/U 3.517%
Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.515%
O/U 5.512%
Germany (-3.5)12%
Greece 2nd Half O/U 1.510%
Germany (-4.5)8%
Greece O/U 2.57%
1st Half O/U 3.56%
O/U 6.55%
Greece (-1.5)3%
O/U 7.52%
Greece (-2.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
Greece (-3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to germany vs. greece - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 27 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

We read Germany vs. Greece - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports