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UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Which venue prices "UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% O/U 2.5 Rounds 100% Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. 74% Volume: $691K Liquidity: $18K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr.74%
Fight to Go the Distance?74%
Decision or Draw67%
Fight won by decision?64%
Fight won by KO/TKO?55%
O/U 3.5 Rounds50%
O/U 4.5 Rounds50%
Ends before Round 5?25%
Barcelos in Round 419%
Barcelos in Round 519%
Rosas Jr. in Round 417%
Barcelos to win by KO/TKO?14%
Rosas Jr. to win by KO/TKO?13%
Fight won by submission?13%
Rosas Jr. in Round 512%
Ends before Round 2?5%
Ends before Round 3?5%
Ends before Round 4?5%
Barcelos in Round 15%
Barcelos in Round 25%
Barcelos in Round 35%
Rosas Jr. in Round 15%
Rosas Jr. in Round 25%
Rosas Jr. in Round 35%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: raoni barcelos vs. raul rosas jr. (bantamweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Raoni Barcelos" if Raoni Barcelos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Raul Rosas Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $691K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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