How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Alternative triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (… — Odds Across Venues

Name: UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Start: 2026-05-16T23:40:41.379Z
End: 2026-06-07T03:59:59.999Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket Alternative Pick polygram.ink	50%	50%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open on Polymarket Alternative →
Polymarket polymarket.com	50%	50%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open on Polymarket Alternative →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open on Polymarket Alternative →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open on Polymarket Alternative →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open on Polymarket Alternative →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Alternative.

Active sub-markets

Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim	50% Belal Muhammad	51% Gabriel Bonfim
Fight to Go the Distance?	45% YES	55% NO
Fight won by KO/TKO?	37% YES	64% NO
Muhammad to win by KO/TKO?	24% YES	77% NO
Bonfim to win by KO/TKO?	27% YES	73% NO
Fight won by submission?	33% YES	68% NO

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: belal muhammad vs. gabriel bonfim (welterweight, main card) stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Belal Muhammad" if Belal Muhammad is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriel Bonfim at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, schedu…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 50% probability for "UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)".

YES 50% NO 50%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $212K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Alternative triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Alex ChenPrediction Market Analystand

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

Trade UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (… on Polymarket Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (… on Polymarket Alternative

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