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Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 96% Liverpool FC O/U 0.5 91% O/U 1.5 86% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 85% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 20 Oct 2026
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Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Liverpool FC O/U 0.591%
O/U 1.586%
2nd Half O/U 0.585%
1st Half O/U 0.578%
Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 0.572%
Liverpool FC O/U 1.568%
O/U 2.566%
Villarreal CF O/U 0.566%
Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 0.566%
Both Teams to Score61%
2nd Half O/U 1.556%
Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 3.547%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 2.547%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 0.546%
1st Half O/U 1.545%
O/U 3.544%
Liverpool FC (-1.5)42%
Liverpool FC O/U 2.541%
Villarreal CF (-4.5)40%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 0.537%
Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 1.537%
Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 1.536%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half33%
Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 2.530%
2nd Half O/U 2.529%
Villarreal CF O/U 1.528%
2nd Half O/U 4.526%
O/U 4.525%
Villarreal CF O/U 5.525%
Both Teams to Score in First Half24%
Liverpool FC (-2.5)23%
1st Half O/U 2.519%
Liverpool FC O/U 3.519%
Villarreal CF (-5.5)14%
O/U 5.513%
Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 2.513%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 1.513%
2nd Half O/U 3.512%
Liverpool FC (-3.5)11%
Villarreal CF O/U 4.511%
Liverpool FC O/U 4.59%
Villarreal CF O/U 2.59%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 1.59%
1st Half O/U 3.57%
Villarreal CF (-1.5)5%
Liverpool FC (-4.5)5%
O/U 6.55%
1st Half O/U 4.54%
Liverpool FC (-5.5)3%
Liverpool FC O/U 5.53%
O/U 7.52%
Villarreal CF O/U 3.52%
Villarreal CF (-2.5)1%
Villarreal CF (-3.5)1%
O/U 8.51%

Market context

The Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 96% YES. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports