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Raiders vs. 49ers

Which venue prices "Raiders vs. 49ers" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Volume: $2.6M Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 8 Nov 2026
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Raiders vs. 49ers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -19.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
1Q Spread -10.5100%
1Q Spread -13.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
Raiders O/U 10.5100%
Raiders O/U 12.5100%
Raiders O/U 13.5100%
Raiders O/U 16.5100%
49ers O/U 10.5100%
49ers O/U 12.5100%
49ers O/U 13.5100%
49ers O/U 16.5100%
49ers O/U 19.5100%
49ers O/U 20.5100%
49ers O/U 23.5100%
49ers O/U 26.5100%
49ers O/U 27.5100%
49ers O/U 30.5100%
49ers O/U 34.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 10.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 12.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 13.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 16.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 17.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 19.5100%
49ers 1H O/U 20.5100%
Raiders 2H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 10.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 12.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 13.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 16.5100%
2Q Moneyline100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q95%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q92%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 21+91%
49ers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.551%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q50%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q50%
Raiders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
49ers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Raiders vs. 49ers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Raiders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 19-2410%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 13-1810%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 7-1210%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 1-610%
Exact Margin: Tie10%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 7-1310%
Raiders vs. 49ers0%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 5.50%
4Q O/U 6.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 14.50%
Raiders O/U 19.50%
Raiders O/U 20.50%
Raiders O/U 23.50%
Raiders O/U 26.50%
Raiders O/U 27.50%
Raiders O/U 30.50%
Raiders O/U 34.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 10.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 12.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 13.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 16.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 17.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 19.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 20.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 10.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 12.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 13.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 16.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 17.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 19.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 20.50%
49ers 2H O/U 17.50%
49ers 2H O/U 19.50%
49ers 2H O/U 20.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 25+0%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 1-60%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 14-200%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Raiders vs. 49ers. In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and 49ers, scheduled for November 8 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raiders" if Raiders win the game. This market will resolve to "49ers" i…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Raiders vs. 49ers".

Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.6M.

Methodology

We read Raiders vs. 49ers from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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