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Lions vs. Bengals

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Lions vs. Bengals" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Spread -3.5 64% Spread -4.5 59% Spread -6.5 51% Bengals O/U 22.5 50% Volume: $166K Liquidity: $342K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Lions vs. Bengals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -3.564%
Spread -4.559%
Spread -6.551%
Bengals O/U 22.550%
Lions O/U 15.550%
Lions O/U 16.550%
Lions O/U 14.550%
Bengals O/U 23.550%
Spread -7.537%
Lions vs. Bengals24%
O/U 37.520%
O/U 38.520%
1H O/U 20.51%
1H Spread -6.51%
1H Moneyline1%

Market context

The Lions vs. Bengals prediction market currently prices this outcome at 64% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 13 at 7:00PM ET: If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If the game is postponed, this…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -3.5 at 64% for "Lions vs. Bengals".

Spread -3.5 64% Other 36%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $166K.

Methodology

We read Lions vs. Bengals from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

Trade Lions vs. Bengals on Polymarket Alternative

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Related Topics

Sports NFL Prediction Markets