Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 90% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 90% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 89% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 87% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 85% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 84% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 82% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 81% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 80% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 80% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 80% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 79% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 79% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 78% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 77% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 74% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 74% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 70% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 69% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 68% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 68% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 67% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 65% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 63% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 63% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 62% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 61% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 61% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 59% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 57% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 57% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 52% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 49% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 48% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 42% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 41% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 41% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 38% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 37% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 36% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 32% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 32% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 31% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 31% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 30% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 28% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 27% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 25% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 25% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 24% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 23% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 22% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 22% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 21% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 18% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 17% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 17% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 16% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 14% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 13% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 12% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 11% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 6% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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