Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| Falcons O/U 14.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 90% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 8.5 | 90% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 90% |
| Falcons vs. Dolphins | 87% |
| O/U 30.5 | 84% |
| Spread -1.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| O/U 26.5 | 71% |
| O/U 34.5 | 70% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| O/U 35.5 | 65% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| O/U 28.5 | 57% |
| O/U 36.5 | 54% |
| O/U 46.5 | 54% |
| O/U 32.5 | 53% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Dolphins O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Dolphins by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Dolphins by 21+ | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 48% |
| O/U 38.5 | 42% |
| O/U 42.5 | 26% |
| O/U 48.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| O/U 54.5 | 8% |
| Dolphins 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Dolphins 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Dolphins 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Falcons vs. Dolphins. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:00PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game is postponed…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $152K.
Methodology
We read Falcons vs. Dolphins from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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