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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

Cross-platform snapshot for "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% New York Mets O/U 2.5 70% Washington Nationals O/U 2.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $998K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.578%
New York Mets O/U 2.570%
Washington Nationals O/U 2.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
New York Mets O/U 3.557%
Washington Nationals O/U 3.556%
Washington Nationals O/U 1.552%
NRFI51%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals50%
O/U 8.549%
New York Mets O/U 4.546%
Washington Nationals O/U 4.542%
Spread -1.539%
O/U 9.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.538%
New York Mets O/U 5.535%
Spread -1.533%
O/U 10.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
Spread -2.530%
Washington Nationals O/U 5.529%
New York Mets O/U 6.525%
Spread -2.523%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Market consensus: 78% chance of new york mets vs. washington nationals. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 26 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York M…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 78% for "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% Other 22%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $113K.

Methodology

This page compares New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports